Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: March 30, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Television Movie
“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
Everett Collection
Weekly Commentary: Serious subjects regarding U.S. intelligence, quirky comedies about parody musicians and populist genre sequels are among the television movies seeking love from the TV Academy.
HBO acquired the docudrama “Reality” featuring double Emmy-nominee from last year, Sydney Sweeney (“Euphoria” and “The White Lotus”). From debut writer and director Tina Satter, which tells the story of Reality Winner, the woman convicted of leaking a confidential report on Russian election interference, could be the dose of reality (no pun intended) that could appeal to Academy members.
On the flip side, even though Amazon Prime Video’s “Shotgun Wedding” received mixed reactions, the rom-com will ride into the TV awards season with the star power of producer and star Jennifer Lopez, alongside last year’s Emmy-winning producing team behind Disney+’s “Chip ‘n Dale Rescue Rangers” — Todd Lieberman, David Hoberman and Alexander Young.
The TV movie category has been a race that has brought little excitement over the past few years, once dominated by “Black Mirror” episodes before the TV Academy changed its rules in 2018. However, depending on who you ask in the industry, a breath of fresh air was brought with “Chip ‘n Dale: Rescue Rangers” won last year, the first animated winner in the category’s history.
This year, there are inspired and critically acclaimed contenders in the running most notably the parody biopic “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” featuring Daniel Radcliffe (a possible challenger to Evan Peters?) in the lead role as the iconic musician. Released by The Roku Channel, the comedy premiered at the 2022 Toronto Film Festival which has led to a strong performance on the guild circuit, picking up wins from the Critics Choice and PGA Awards ceremonies. In addition, director Eric Appel was the only TV movie helmer nominated for a DGA award alongside limited/anthology series. That indicates love and respect.
We’ll also see if the TV Academy can find room to embrace horror films like the Predator franchise film “Prey” or if Dolly Parton is still a default selection for her NBC-distributed “Mountain Magic Christmas” after winning in 2021 with Netflix’s “Christmas on the Square.”
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
**This list is not yet complete and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: “Chip ‘n Dale: Rescue Rangers” (Disney+) — Alexander Young and Tom Peitzman (executive producers); Todd Lieberman and David Hoberman (produced by)
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | VARIETY SKETCH, SERIES, SPECIALS |
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTING, VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directo
