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2022 Emmys Predictions: TV Movie

2022 Emmys Predictions: TV Movie

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB

UPDATED: June 2, 2022


AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: What looks to be a landmark year for the animation medium, while Netflix is looking solid for recognition for their film “The House,” Disney+ enters the pack with their mix of live-action and animation with the refreshing reboot flick, “Chip ‘n’ Dale: Rescue Rangers.” Putting 90s nostalgia into overdrive for those of us who were fans of the Disney Afternoon cartoon, the movie also has hilarious voicework from Andy Samberg and John Mulaney. Directed by the multi-talented Akiva Schaffer, it would be an elevated choice for TV Academy members to select, despite its light subject matter.

Written by Lauryn Kahn, “Fresh” was acquired by Searchlight Pictures ahead of its world premiere at the Sundance Film Festival in January. In March, the film was released on Hulu and received positive marks from critics and audiences. Adam McKay and Kevin J. Messick produced the thriller. McKay is a two-time Emmy-winner for outstanding variety special live (2019 for “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: Norman Lear’s ‘All in the Family’ and ‘The Jeffersons’”) and outstanding drama series (HBO’s “Succession” in 2020). Off his recent Oscar nomination for Netflix’s “Don’t Look Up,” this marks one of four possible noms McKay can receive this year — HBO’s “Succession” (drama series), “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty,” (drama series and directing the episode “The Swan”) and “The Invisible Pilot” (documentary series).

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The Sky Is Everywhere
Courtesy of Apple TV Plus

A24 and Apple TV+ have partnered once again on “The Sky Is Everywhere” from director Josephine Decker, who also co-produces. Those who give the movie its time could be a no-brainer for mature cinephiles to digest. The same goes for Oscar-winner Barry Levinson’s acclaimed feature “The Survivor” with Ben Foster in a transformational performance.

There are a few films on the bubble but lack the buzz at the moment to rise on the charts (despite impeccable quality)—the magnificent Jenna Ortega vehicle, “The Fallout” from Megan Park. With the recent tragedies in Texas, it may hit too close to home, but I challenge voters to watch its honest portrayal of the aftermath of a school shooting.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The programs and potential nominees listed below are incomplete and subject to change. The complete television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: “The Queen’s Gambit” (Netflix)


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Warner Bros.

1 “The House” Netflix Charlotte Bavasso, Christopher O’Reilly
2 “The Survivor” HBO/HBO Max Aaron L. Gilbert, Matti Leshem, Barry Levinson, Scott Pardo, Jason Sosnoff
3 “The Sky is Everywhere” A24/Apple TV+ Josephine Decker, Denise Di Novi, Margaret French Isaac, Allison Rose Carter
4 “I Want You Back” Amazon Prime Video Isaac Aptaker, Elizabeth Berger, Peter Safran, John Rickard
5 “Chip ‘n’ Dale: Rescue Rangers” Disney+ David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman
6 “Fresh” Hulu Adam McKay, Kevin Messick
7 “Kimi” HBO/HBO Max David Koepp, Michael Polaire
8 “The Fallout” HBO/HBO Max Shaun Sanghani, David Brown, Giulia Prenna, Joannie Burstein, Rebecca Miller, Cara Shine, Todd Lundbohm
9 “Ray Donovan: The Movie” Showtime John H. Radulovic, David Hollander, Liev Schreiber, Mark Gordon, Bryan Zuriff, Lou Fusaro
10 “Moonshot” HBO/HBO Max Greg Berlanti, Sarah Schechter, Jill McElroy, Jenna Sarkin
“8-Bit Christmas” HBO/HBO Max To be added
“Better Nate Than Never” Disney+ To be added
“Bingo Hell” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Birds of Paradise” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Black as Night” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Book of Love” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Cheaper by the Dozen” Disney+ To be added
“Crush” Hulu To be added
“Help” Channel 4 To be added
“Jolt” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Line Sisters” Lifetime To be added
“Madres” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“Reno 911! The Hunt for QAnon” Paramount+ To be added
“Salt N’ Pepa” Lifetime To be added
“Sex Appeal” Hulu To be added
“The Bad Seed Returns” Lifetime To be added
“The Manor” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“The Valet” Hulu To be added
“The Voyeurs” Amazon Prime Video To be added
“The Waltons: Homecoming” The CW To be added
“Vanished: Searching for My Sister” Lifetime To be added
“Zoey’s Extraordinary Christmas” The Roku Channel To be added


The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. Many records are held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

This category has continually undergone rule changes and inceptions over the years, making it misleading to account for significant historical wins and nominations. For example, “Black Mirror” is a series with the most wins at three, while “Sherlock” has the most nominations at four.

HBO has the most wins in this category on the network front with 22, while NBC is second with nine. Netflix is the first and only streamer to have won this category – for three consecutive years with “Black Mirror.”

2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

  • Outstanding Television Movie
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Reality Host
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Animated Program
  • Outstanding Short Form Animated Program
  • Outstanding Voice-Over Performance
  • Outstanding Narrator
  • Outstanding Structured Program
  • Outstanding Unstructured Program
  • Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
  • Outstanding Documentary Special
  • Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking
  • Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
  • Outstanding Main Title Design
  • Outstanding Main Title Theme Music
  • Outstanding Music for Series
  • Outstanding Music for Limited Series
  • Outstanding Music and Lyrics
  • Outstanding Music Supervision

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

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