Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best Original Score
A24
Weekly Commentary (Updated Sept. 15, 2023): More to come.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.
The submission deadline for general categories is Nov. 18, 2023. Preliminary shortlist voting will begin on Dec. 18, with the results announced on Dec. 21. The voting period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominations announcement on Jan. 23.
The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10.
***The list below is not final and will be updated throughout the awards season.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Ludwig Göransson — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
- Jerskin Fendrix — “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Daniel Pemberton — “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures)
- Kris Bowers — “Origin” (Neon)
- Christopher Bear, Daniel Rossen — “Past Lives” (A24)
Next in Line
- Joe Hisaishi — “The Boy and the Heron” (GKids)
- David Metzger — “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures)
- Robbie Robertson— “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
- Laura Karpman — “American Fiction” (MGM)
- Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Hans Zimmer — “The Creator” (20th Century Studios)
- Thomas Newman – “Elemental” (Pixar)
- Mica Levi — “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
- Michael Giacchino — “Society of the Snow” (Netflix)
- Martin Phipps — “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)
- John Williams — “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Walt Disney Pictures)
- Alexandre Desplat – “Asteroid City” (Focus Features)
- Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross — “The Killer” (Netflix)
- Anthony Willis— “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Emilie Levienaise-Farrouch — “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)
Also In Contention
- David Wingo — “The Bikeriders” (20th Century Studios)
- Mark Orton — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
- Marcelo Zarvos— “May December” (Netflix)
- Branford Marsalis — “Rustin” (Netflix)
- Richard Reed Parry — “The Iron Claw” (A24)
- Will Bates — “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures)
- Kris Bowers — “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)
- Daniel Pemberton — “Ferrari” (Neon)
- Phoenix — “Priscilla” (A24)
- Michael Abels – “The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**
- Hildur Guðnadóttir – “A Haunting in Venice” (20th Century Studios)
- David Wingo – “The Bikeriders” (20th Century Studios)
- Hans Zimmer — “The Creator” (20th Century Studios)
- Bobby Krlic – “Beau is Afraid” (A24)
- Richard Reed Parry – “The Iron Claw” (A24)
- Christopher Bear, Daniel Rossen – “Past Lives” (A24)
- Phoenix – “Priscilla” (A24)
- Mica Levi – “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
- Michael Abels – “The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Marcelo Zarvos – “Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Anthony Willis – “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Christopher Stracey – “Fingernails” (Apple Original Films)
- Gary Clark, John Carney – “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films)
- Robbie Robertson – “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
- Martin Phipps – “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)
- Alexandre Desplat – “Asteroid City” (Focus Features)
- Mark Orton – “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
- Joe Hisaishi — “The Boy and the Heron” (GKids)
- Jay McCarrol — “BlackBerry” (IFC Films)
- Marcelo Zarvos — “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures)
- Hans Zimmer — “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate)
- James Newton Howard – “The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” (Lionsgate)
- Nathan Matthew David- “Joy Ride” (Lionsgate)
- John Murphy – “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios)
- Laura Karpman – “The Marvels” (Marvel Studios)
- Laura Karpman – “American Fiction” (MGM)
- Richard Reed Parry – “Eileen” (Neon)
- Brian McOmber — “Fair Play” (Netflix)
- Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross — “The Killer” (Netflix)
- Mac Quayle – “Leave the World Behind” (Netflix)
- Marcelo Zarvos— “May December” (Netflix)
- Alexandre Desplata — “Nyad” (Netflix)
- Tom Holkenborg – “Rebel Moon” (Netflix)
- Branford Marsalis — “Rustin” (Netflix)
- Michael Giacchino — “Society of the Snow” (Netflix)
- Kris Bowers – “Origin” (Neon)
- Thomas Newman – “Elemental” (Pixar)
- Mark Orton – “Somewhere in Queens” (Roadside Attractions)
- Emilie Levienaise-Farrouch — “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Michael Giacchino – “Next Goal Wins” (Searchlight Pictures) **
- Jerskin Fendrix — “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Will Bates — “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures)
- Daniel Pemberton – “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures)
- Greg Danner – “A Little Prayer” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Marvin Miller – “The Teachers Lounge” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Daniel Pemberton — “Ferrari” (Neon)
- Ludwig Göransson – “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
- Bryce Dessner – “She Came to Me” (Vertical Entertainment)
- Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
- Bobby Krlic – “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.)
- Kris Bowers – “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)
- Joby Talbot – “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)
- John Williams — “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Walt Disney Pictures)
- Alan Menken – “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures)
- David Metzger — “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures)
2022 category winner: “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix) — Volker Bertelmann
** indicates an unconfirmed release date in 2023 or could campaign in the lead or supporting categories. All release dates are subject to change.
Oscars Predictions Categories
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
