Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: May 25, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Unstructured Reality Program
VANDERPUMP RULES — Pictured: (l-r) Tom Sandoval, Lala Kent — (Photo by: Casey Durkin/Bravo)
Courtesy of Casey Durkin/Bravo
Weekly Commentary: The #Scandoval drama has taken the social media world by storm, and that’s surely trickled down to TV Academy voters. Bravo’s “Vanderpump Rules” could sneak into the lineup for the first time, similar to the surprise nom for its network counterpart “Below Deck.” Talk about a ratings surge for the Primetime Emmys (can you just imagine?)
However, it must still battle the reigning champion, “RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked” from MTV and “Selling Sunset” from Netflix who are popular with the Academy.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked” (MTV)
- “Vanderpump Rules” (Bravo)
- “Selling Sunset” (Netflix)
- “Welcome to Wrexham” (FX)
- “Below Deck: Sailing Yacht” (Bravo)
- “90 Day Fiancé” (TLC)
Next in Line
- “Deadliest Catch” (Discovery)
- “Married at First Sight” (Lifetime)
- “Intervention” (A&E)
- “Crikey! It’s the Irwins” (Discovery+)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “The Kardashians” (Hulu)
- “The Real Housewives of New Jersey” (Bravo)
- “The Real Housewives Ultimate Girls Trip” (Peacock)
- “Bachelor in Paradise” (ABC)
- “Formula 1: Drive to Survive” (Netflix)
- “Following: Bretman Rock” (MTV)
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Structured Reality Program
Orna in COUPLES THERAPY, “Episode 1”. Photo Credit: Courtesy of SHOWTIME.
Courtesy of SHOWTIME
Weekly Commentary: Showtime has successfully petitioned the Television Academy to switch its Emmy submission for the acclaimed docuseries “Couples Therapy” to this category, and it could find its way into the lineup (deservingly). The same goes for Guy Fieri’s “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” which could make a comeback after three years.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Queer Eye” (Netflix)
- “Love is Blind” (Netflix)
- “Shark Tank” (ABC)
- “Couples Therapy” (Showtime)
- “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network)
- “Magnolia Table with Joanna Gaines” (Magnolia Network)
Next in Line
- “Bar Rescue” (Paramount Network)
- “Taste the Nation with Padma Lakshmi” (Hulu)
- “The Gentle Art of Swedish Death Cleaning” (Peacock)
- “Gutsy” (Apple TV+)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “José Andrés and Family in Spain” (Discovery+)
- “We’re Here” (HBO)
- “Selena + Chef” (HBO)
- “The Reluctant Traveler with Eugene Levy” (Apple TV+)
- “Geography of Bliss with Rainn Wilson” (Peacock)
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Reality Competition Program
RuPaul’s Drag Race Top 4
bottom center: Sasha Velour (winner)
center: Trinity Taylor, Peppermint, Shea Coulee
Courtesy of VH1
Weekly Commentary: Last year’s winner “Lizzo’s Watch Out for the Big Grrrls” did not return this year which leaves the opening for “RuPaul’s Drag Race” to reclaim its crown. That’s if former winners “Top Chef” from Bravo, “The Voice” from NBC or “The Amazing Race” from CBS don’t come back for another winning trip.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1)
- “Top Chef” (Bravo)
- “The Voice” (NBC)
- “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
- “The Circle” (Netflix)
Next in Line
- “Nailed It: Halloween” (Netflix)
- “Survivor” (CBS)
- “Dancing with the Stars” (Disney+)
- “My Kind of Country” (Apple TV+)
- “Chopped” (Food Network)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “The Masked Singer” (Fox)
- “The Climb” (HBO)
- “The Big Bunch” (HBO)
- “Outlast” (Netflix)
- “America’s Got Talent” (NBC)
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Reality Competition Host
Love is Blind. (L to R) Nick Lachey, Vanessa Lachey at Sunset Bronson Studios for the Love is Blind season 4 reunion. Cr. Adam Rose/Netflix © 2023
ADAM ROSE/NETFLIX
Weekly Commentary: We’ve learned some things from the Emmys over the past few years. The more controversy a show or contender has, the better for its nomination chances (see: “Emily in Paris” and all of Dave Chappelle’s noms and wins).
Married couple Nick and Vanessa Lachey received much backlash from the “Love is Blind” live (-ish) reunion on Netflix. Still, does that mean the show or the hosts can’t get nominated for an Emmy? Of course, it doesn’t. What’s an Emmy season without controversial mentions? They could be it.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1) — RuPaul
- “Queer Eye” (Netflix) — Bobby Berk, Karamo Brown, Tan Frace, Antoni Porowski, Jonathan Van Ness
- “Top Chef” (Bravo) — Padma Lakshmi
- “Shark Tank” (ABC) — Mark Cuban, Barbara Corcoran, Lori Greiner, Robert Herjavec, Daymond John, Kevin O’Leary
- “Love is Blind” (Netflix) — Vanessa Lachey, Nick Lachey
Next in Line
- “American Idol” (ABC) — Ryan Seacrest
- “The Voice” (NBC) — Carson Daly
- “The Amazing Race” (CBS) — Phil Keoghan
- “Survivor” (CBS) — Jeff Probst
- “Alex vs. America” (Food Network) — Alex Guarnaschelli
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network) — Guy Fieri
- “Nailed It: Halloween” (Netflix) — Nicole Byer
- “Bobby’s Triple Threat” (Food Network) — Bobby Flay
- “Ciao House” (Food Network) — Alex Guarnaschelli & Gabriele Bertaccini
- “Trixie Motel” (Discovery+) — Trixie Mattel
- “Selena + Chef” (HBO) — Selena Gomez
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.
