Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
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UPDATED: May 9, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Talk Series
Weekly Commentary: Apple TV+ and the creative teams behind “The Problem With Jon Stewart” had plans to compete in the outstanding hosted nonfiction series or special category, where its first season received an Emmy nom last year. However, the Television Academy denied its submission and moved the show to the outstanding talk series category, where it will face off against late-night hosts such as Stephen Colbert, Jimmy Kimmel and Seth Meyers.
Last year, 19 shows were submitted for the now-defunct variety talk series category, including HBO’s “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver.” However, the 26-time winner was moved to scripted variety series, where it will face off against its fellow HBO counterpart “A Black Lady Sketch Show” and last year’s winner, NBC’s “Saturday Night Live.”
The 12-episode sophomore season, hosted by 22-time Emmy winner Stewart, has received critical raves for the comedian and commentator’s unfiltered, no-holds-barred dialogue. Sitting with various lawmakers and political figures, he discusses many of the country’s most urgent topics such as gun control and the legislative attack against the LGBTQ community. Many clips from the series have gone viral on social media.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “The Problem With Jon Stewart” (Apple TV+)
- “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
Next in Line
- “Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
- “The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “The Late Late Show with James Corden” (CBS)
- “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” (NBC)
- “What What Happens Live” (Bravo)
- “Real Time with Bill Maher” (HBO)
- “Hell of a Week with Charlamagne Tha God” (Comedy Central)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
- “The Problem With Jon Stewart” (Apple TV+)
- “What What Happens Live” (Bravo)
- “The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central)
- “Hell of a Week with Charlamagne Tha God” (Comedy Central)
- “The Late Late Show with James Corden” (CBS)
- “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
- “Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
- “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” (NBC)
- “Real Time with Bill Maher” (HBO)
- “Hart to Heart” (Peacock)
** This official list and/or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO) — John Oliver, Tim Carvell and Liz Stanton, executive producers; Jeremy Tchaban, co-executive producer; Catherine Owens and Christopher Werner, supervising producers; Laura L. Griffin, Kate Mullaney, Matt Passet, Marian Wang and Charles Wilson, producers
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) |
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTING, VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.