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2022 Emmys Supporting Actor Drama Predictions

2022 Emmys Supporting Actor Drama Predictions

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB

UPDATED: June 2, 2022



In the 2020 TV awards season, pundits and lovers of “Better Call Saul” had convinced us that our beloved Mike Ehrmantraut, played by the veteran Jonathan Banks, would finally receive an Emmy statuette. But, unfortunately, along with star Bob Odenkirk, they were shockingly snubbed from their respective lineups. So isn’t it time for Mike to get shown Emmy love going into the final season?

Alongside Banks, and coming off his nomination for “The Mandalorian” last year, Giancarlo Esposito’s work as Gus Fring on the hit AMC series has been beloved for years. Also, stepping behind the camera with his TV directorial debut (for the episode “Axe and Grind”) can help him along in the awards conversation and possibly walk away with a long-overdue Emmy award after five noms – perhaps in either category?

For his work as Cory Ellison on the Apple TV+ drama series “The Morning Show,” Billy Crudup won his first Emmy award in 2020 during the inaugural season. In the second, he has more screentime, even riding the line between lead actor and supporting actor, which could help him in the run-up to another nom (and maybe win?), if the love for the show hasn’t fizzled out.

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Chris Sullivan captured his second nomination last year for his lovable Toby Damon in the NBC series “This Is Us,” one of the benefactors of an expanded lineup. With the series saying farewell, this is an opportunity for the TV Academy to go all-in on the actors that brought these characters to life.

Already an Emmy winner for outstanding guest actor in a comedy series for monk in 2004, John Turturro is sensational as Lumon Industries’ model employee Irving in “Severance,” another hit Apple TV+ series. A respected and beloved actor in the TV realm, shown by his other nomination for the HBO series the night of Turturro, stands a solid chance at landing in this competitive lineup.

This is not the complete list of submitted contenders. Additions will be added every Thursday.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The programs and potential nominees listed below are incomplete and subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: Tobias Menzies, “The Crown” (Netflix)


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1 Jonathan Banks “Better Call Saul” AMC
2 Kieran Culkin “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
3 Matthew Macfadyen “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
4 Billy Crudup “The Morning Show” Apple TV+
5 Nicholas Braun “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
6 Alan Ruck “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
7 Oh Young-soo “Squid Game” Netflix
8 John Turturro “Severance” Apple TV+
9 Chris Sullivan “This Is Us” NBC
10 Giancarlo Esposito “Better Call Saul” AMC
11 Gil Birmingham “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
12 Eric Dane “Euphoria” HBO/HBO Max
13 Tramell Tillman “Severance” Apple TV+
14 David Harbour “Stranger Things” Netflix
15 Christopher Walken “Severance” Apple TV+
16 Steve Carell “The Morning Show” Apple TV+
17 Mark Duplass “The Morning Show” Apple TV+
18 Clancy Brown “Dexter: New Blood” Showtime
19 Mandy Patinkin “The Good Fight” Paramount+
20 Bill Camp “American Rust” Showtime
21 Park Hae-Soo “Squid Game” Netflix
22 Bill Nighy “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
23 Owen Wilson “Loki” Disney+
24 Michael Mando “Better Call Saul” AMC
25 Edward James Olmos “Mayans M.C.” FX
26 Noah Reid “Outer Range” Amazon Prime Video
27 Joe Keery “Stranger Things” Netflix
28 Adrien Brody “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
29 Jonathan Pryce “Slow Horses” Apple TV+
30 Asante Blackk “This Is Us” NBC
Aasif Mandvi “Evil” Paramount+
Adrian Holmes “Bel-Air” Peacock
Aidan Gillen “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Alano Miller “Dexter: New Blood” Showtime
Alfonso Herrera “Ozark” Netflix
Anthony Rapp “Star Trek: Discovery” Paramount+
Anupam Tripathi “Squid Game” Netflix
Asia Kate Dillon “Billions” Showtime
Barney Harris “The Wheel of Time” Amazon Prime Video
Bentley Green “61st Street” AMC
Bobby Cannavale “Nine Perfect Strangers” Hulu
Brecken Merrill “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Brent Spiner “Star Trek: Picard” Paramount+
Bruce Dern “Goliath” Amazon Prime Video
Calam Lynch “Bridgerton” Netflix
Caleb McLaughlin “Stranger Things” Netflix
Chai Hansen “Night Sky” Amazon Prime Video
Charlie Heaton “Stranger Things” Netflix
Chris Geere “This Is Us” NBC
Chris Pang “As We See It” Amazon Prime Video
Clarke Peters “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
Cole Hauser “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Daniel Henney “The Wheel of Time” Amazon Prime Video
Dave Bautista “See” Apple TV+
David Ajala “Star Trek: Discovery” Paramount+
David Alvarez “American Rust” Showtime
David Wenham “Pieces of Her” Netflix
Denim Richards “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Derek Webster “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Devon Sawa “Chucky” Syfy
Doug Jones “Star Trek: Discovery” Paramount+
Eamon Farren “The Witcher” Netflix
Evan Evagora “Star Trek: Picard” Paramount+
Felix Solis “Ozark” Netflix
Finn Little “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Finn Wolfhard “Stranger Things” Netflix
Forrie Smith “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Gaten Matarazzo “Stranger Things” Netflix
Giancarlo Esposito “Godfather of Harlem” Epix
Gil Birmingham “Pieces of Her” Netflix
Griffin Dunne “This Is Us” NBC
Hamish Allan-Headley “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Hugh Dillon “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Ian Bohen “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Jack Alcott “Dexter: New Blood” Showtime
Jamie Bell “Shining Girls” Apple TV+
Jamie Campbell Bower “Stranger Things” Netflix
Jason Clarke “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
Jason Segel “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
Jefferson White “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Jimmi Simpson “Pachinko” Apple TV+
Jimmi Simpson “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
Joe Dempsie “Pieces of Her” Netflix
Joe Mantegna “As We See It” Amazon Prime Video
Joey Bada$$ “Power Book III: Raising Kanan” Starz
Joey Batey “The Witcher” Netflix
Jon Huertas “This Is Us” NBC
Joseph Quinn “Stranger Things” Netflix
Josha Stradowski “The Wheel of Time” Amazon Prime Video
Ken Watanabe “Tokyo Vice” HBO/HBO Max
Kim Bodnia “The Witcher” Netflix
Kurt Fuller “Evil” Paramount+
Kyle Chandler “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Lewis Pullman “Outer Range” Amazon Prime Video
London Brown “Power Book III: Raising Kanan” Starz
Luke Evans “Nine Perfect Strangers” Hulu
Luke Newton “Bridgerton” Netflix
Luke Thompson “Bridgerton” Netflix
Malcolm Goodwin “Reacher” Amazon Prime Video
Malcolm Mays “Power Book III: Raising Kanan” Starz
Marcus Rutherford “The Wheel of Time” Amazon Prime Video
Martins Imhangbe “Bridgerton” Netflix
Matthew Modine “Stranger Things” Netflix
Michael Boatman “The Good Fight” Paramount+
Michael Emerson “Evil” Paramount+
Michael Shannon “Nine Perfect Strangers” Hulu
Mustafa Shakir “Cowboy Bebop” Netflix
Noah Schnapp “Stranger Things” Netflix
Nyambi Nyambi “The Good Fight” Paramount+
Olly Sholotan “Bel-Air” Peacock
Omari Hardwick “Pieces of Her” Netflix
Patrick Fabian “Better Call Saul” AMC
Pha’Rez Lass “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Quincy Isaiah “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
Richard Rankin “Outlander” Starz
Richard Schiff “The Good Doctor” ABC
Richard Thomas “Ozark” Netflix
Rob Delaney “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
Royce Pierreson “The Witcher” Netflix
Rupert Grint “Servant” Apple TV+
Rupert Young “Bridgerton” Netflix
Ryan Bingham “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Santiago Cabrera “Star Trek: Picard” Paramount+
Steven Krueger “Yellowjackets” Showtime
Taylor Handley “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Tobi Bamtefa “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Tom Pelphrey “Outer Range” Amazon Prime Video
Tony Dalton “Better Call Saul” AMC
Tosin Cole “61st Street” AMC
Travis Fimmel “Raised by Wolves” HBO/HBO Max
Warren Kole “Yellowjackets” Showtime
Wes Bentley “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Will Patton “Outer Range” Amazon Prime Video
Will Patton “Yellowstone” Paramount Network
Wilson Cruz “Star Trek: Discovery” Paramount+
Zach Cherry “Severance” Apple TV+
Zach Grenier “The Good Fight” Paramount+

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Supporting Actor Drama)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. Many records are held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: Peter Dinklage is the most awarded actor in this category, with four individual wins for his turn as Tyrion Lannister on HBO’s “Game of Thrones.” Art Carney, Don Knotts and Aaron Paul are the second most awarded with three wins each. In addition, “Game of Thrones,” “L.A. Law” and “The West Wing” each have four wins for its actors in this category over its runs, the most of any television series.

For nominations: Peter Dinklage is the most nominated person in this category with eight nominations, all for each season of “Game of Thrones.” Five actors are tied behind him with six nominations: Jonathan Banks, Ed Begley Jr, Will Geer, Jimmy Smits, and Bruce Weitz. Banks and Begley Jr are the only two to have not won yet in any Primetime Emmy category.

“Hill Street Blues” is the series that has received the most nominations in this category over its run, with 16 nominations, with “L.A. Law” and “The West Wing” close behind with 15 and 14 nods, respectively.

2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

  • Outstanding Television Movie
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Reality Host
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Animated Program
  • Outstanding Short Form Animated Program
  • Outstanding Voice-Over Performance
  • Outstanding Narrator
  • Outstanding Structured Program
  • Outstanding Unstructured Program
  • Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
  • Outstanding Documentary Special
  • Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking
  • Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
  • Outstanding Main Title Design
  • Outstanding Main Title Theme Music
  • Outstanding Music for Series
  • Outstanding Music for Limited Series
  • Outstanding Music and Lyrics
  • Outstanding Music Supervision

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

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